Ballard Power Systems experienced a notable rebound in its stock value on Tuesday, with shares climbing 6.77% by the market close. This uptick followed a sharp decline on Monday, which was triggered by the company's recent earnings report. Despite this recent dip, Ballard's stock showed resilience, with Toronto-listed shares rising as much as 7.57% during Tuesday’s trading session before settling at $2.68.
The stock's recovery is particularly striking given the downgrade it received from CIBC Capital Markets. The investment bank expressed concerns about the future of hydrogen technology, describing the outlook as increasingly uncertain, especially with potential shifts in U.S. policy depending on the outcome of the upcoming presidential election. This downgrade came after Ballard revealed a significant drop in customer orders and announced plans to reduce spending due to slower-than-anticipated adoption of its fuel cell technology.
Randy MacEwen, the CEO of Ballard Power Systems, shared with analysts on Monday that the company expects sales to pick up in the latter half of 2024. However, he also cautioned that revenue could be inconsistent from quarter to quarter. MacEwen pointed out several risks, including political uncertainty in the U.S., Europe, and China, which could impact the company's operations.
CIBC’s analyst Krista Friesen downgraded Ballard’s shares listed on the Nasdaq to “underperformer,” while also drastically cutting her price target from US$3.50 to US$1.60. Friesen acknowledged that while Ballard is making progress in its product development, the broader economic environment is becoming less favourable for the widespread adoption of hydrogen technology. She highlighted that the upcoming U.S. election adds another layer of uncertainty, particularly if there is a change in administration.
Friesen also noted that ongoing debates, such as those surrounding the 45V Clean Hydrogen tax credit, could further complicate the industry’s outlook. Although the Department of Treasury and the Internal Revenue Service guided this credit last December, the policy remains under discussion, which could affect future investments in hydrogen technology.
Despite these challenges, Ballard’s ability to bounce back on Tuesday reflects investor confidence in the company’s long-term potential, even in a challenging macroeconomic environment. The stock’s performance on Tuesday suggests that while short-term hurdles exist, there is still optimism about Ballard’s future in the hydrogen sector.