Friedrich Merz poised to become Germany’s next chancellor. Financial Post



Friedrich Merz is set to become Germany’s next chancellor after his conservative party won the national election on Sunday. He has pledged to make Europe more independent from the United States. However, forming a government will not be easy, as coalition talks could take months.

A Complicated Political Landscape

Merz, 69, leads the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), which emerged as the largest party in a fractured election. However, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) surged to second place, shaking up the political scene. The AfD’s success came with support from prominent U.S. figures, including tech billionaire Elon Musk.

Despite its strong showing, mainstream parties refuse to work with the AfD. This means Merz must build a coalition with other parties, which could be a long and complex process. His victory also comes at a tough time for Germany. The economy is struggling, migration remains a divisive issue, and the country faces security concerns from both Russia and China.

Merz Takes Aim at U.S. Influence

In his victory speech, Merz strongly criticized the U.S., saying some comments from Washington during the campaign were “outrageous.” He compared them to outside interference from Russia. “We are under massive pressure from two sides,” he said, stressing the need for a united Europe.

Interestingly, former U.S. President Donald Trump welcomed the election results. He wrote on his social media platform, Truth Social, that Germans were rejecting “a no common sense agenda, especially on energy and immigration.”

Merz has traditionally been seen as an Atlanticist, someone who supports strong ties between Europe and North America. However, he now argues that Trump’s administration has shown “indifference” to Europe’s fate.

Uncertain Future for Germany’s Government

While Merz’s CDU won the most votes, it secured only its second-worst result in post-war history. Without an outright majority, Merz must form a coalition, but the path forward is unclear. He may need one or two partners to reach a governing majority. If a three-party coalition is required, it could make decision-making more difficult.

Meanwhile, the AfD is celebrating its historic performance. Party leader Alice Weidel told supporters, “Our hand remains outstretched to form a government. Next time, we’ll come first.” However, with other parties rejecting the AfD, it remains sidelined.

The Social Democratic Party (SPD) of outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz suffered its worst defeat since World War II, falling to third place. Scholz admitted the outcome was “bitter.”

Challenges Ahead for Merz

Merz has positioned himself as the opposite of former Chancellor Angela Merkel. Unlike Merkel, he supports sending long-range Taurus missiles to Ukraine, a step Scholz’s government avoided. He also believes Europe should stay firmly anchored in NATO.

Germany now faces a period of political uncertainty. Scholz may continue as a caretaker chancellor for months until a new government is formed. This delay could stall urgent economic reforms as Germany struggles to compete with global rivals.

The election also has wider implications for Europe. Trump has threatened trade wars and is pushing for a quick Ukraine ceasefire deal without European input. If coalition talks drag on, Germany may struggle to provide strong leadership during a crucial time.

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