2024 foreseen as promising for airlines & Canadian travel despite economic factors. Positive outlook prevails for air travel. (BNN Bloomberg)


December 30, 2023

Despite economic uncertainties, a positive outlook prevails among airlines and travel experts concerning Canadians' air travel in 2024.

According to a recent International Air Transport Association (IATA) report, global air travel is anticipated to soar in 2024, surpassing the previous record set in 2019 with an estimated 4.7 billion passengers taking to the skies. However, despite this surge in travelers, the IATA foresees a marginal 2.7% profit margin for the airline industry.

Willie Walsh, IATA's director general, expressed admiration for aviation's resilience amid significant losses in recent years. He highlighted the industry's return to pre-pandemic levels of connectivity and the remarkable speed of recovery.

This upbeat sentiment resonates at Porter Airlines, which aggressively expanded in 2023 following the acquisition of 50 new Embraer E195-E2 jets to broaden its network. Despite economic pressures from inflation, Porter CEO Michael Deluce reported robust demand for bookings in the coming year, signaling a persistent strong demand environment.

Similarly, Play Airlines, a new player in the Canadian market, experienced success since its June launch, operating flights out of Hamilton to Europe via Reykjavík. CEO Birgir Jónsson highlighted the Canadian market's need for alternative European travel options and anticipated significant growth in 2024 and 2025.

Personal finance expert Clay Jarvis from NerdWallet Canada anticipated sustained substantial spending on travel by Canadians in 2024. He emphasized that the trajectory would depend on factors like inflation and interest rates. Despite the Bank of Canada's interest rate hikes, their impact on the economy has yet to materialize, possibly influencing travel spending in the future.

Jarvis expressed concerns about potential limitations on travel options due to price pressures and speculated that Canadians might opt to stay within Canada if travel choices are constrained. Additionally, he pondered whether Canadians might prioritize paying off accumulated debt over travel spending if interest rates decline.

The overall sentiment reflects positivity for air travel in 2024, despite considerations about economic factors like inflation and interest rates influencing consumer behavior and travel spending choices.

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