(Nanos Research)
The federal Liberals continue to hold an eight-point lead over the Conservatives as the election campaign reaches its 11th day. A recent survey shows Mark Carney’s Liberals at 45%, while Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives follow at 37%.
Other parties remain far behind. The New Democratic Party (NDP) has dropped to 9%, while the Bloc Quebecois stands at 5%. The Green Party and the People’s Party of Canada have 2% and 1% support, respectively.
Pollster Nik Nanos noted that this election is becoming a battle between two main parties. "Smaller parties are struggling for attention as voters focus on the front-runners," he said. He also emphasized that Canadians are looking for leadership that can manage relations with the U.S. and handle economic challenges.
Regional Breakdown
The Liberals lead in most regions, except for the Prairies, where the Conservatives have a strong hold.
In Ontario, a key battleground, the Liberals lead with 50% support, while the Conservatives have 38%. In the Prairies, the Conservatives dominate with 59% compared to the Liberals’ 24%.
The Liberals also enjoy a significant advantage in Atlantic Canada, where they hold 64% support versus 27% for the Conservatives. In Quebec, the Liberals lead with 49%, while the Conservatives have only 21%.
Preferred Prime Minister
More Canadians prefer Carney as the next prime minister. The poll shows 49% of voters support him, while 34% back Poilievre. NDP leader Jagmeet Singh lags far behind at 5%.
Voting Preferences by Gender
The poll reveals a gender gap in party support. More women favor the Liberals, with 52% saying they would vote for them, compared to 29% who support the Conservatives. Among men, 38% prefer the Liberals, while 46% back the Conservatives.
