Goldman Sachs is set to experience a 10% drop in trading revenue in the third quarter, according to CEO David Solomon. Speaking at a financial conference in New York, Solomon attributed the expected decline to sluggish market conditions in August, driven by a challenging global economic environment. The downturn follows a strong performance in the third quarter of 2023 when the bank’s equities revenue rose 8%.
Despite this setback, Goldman Sachs had a highly profitable second quarter, with profits more than doubling. The firm saw significant gains in dealmaking, particularly in debt underwriting and fixed-income trading. Investment banking is also seeing signs of recovery, though Solomon noted that activity from financial sponsors has been slower than expected. However, he expressed optimism that private equity-backed deals could pick up toward the end of the year or in 2025.
Solomon did not provide specific projections for future investment banking revenues, but his outlook is cautiously positive.
In contrast, Citigroup’s Chief Financial Officer Mark Mason, speaking at the same event, mentioned that his company expects a 20% increase in investment banking fees in the third quarter compared to last year.
Goldman Sachs has been actively refocusing its business strategy, moving away from consumer-facing ventures. Solomon pointed to the recent sale of loans to small and medium-sized businesses and the bank’s plans to exit a credit card partnership with General Motors as examples of this shift. These strategic moves, initiated in late 2022, are expected to have a $400 million pre-tax impact on revenues for this quarter.
Regarding the General Motors credit card deal, Goldman Sachs is currently negotiating an exit, with Barclays reportedly in talks to take over the partnership. Goldman’s decision to step back from retail operations aligns with its broader goal of narrowing its focus and prioritizing more profitable ventures.
On the broader economic front, Solomon offered a cautiously optimistic view of the U.S. economy. He stated that the economy is in relatively good shape, so credit conditions are expected to remain stable shortly. This comes amid concerns about rising interest rates and inflationary pressures, but Goldman’s CEO remains hopeful that these factors won’t significantly impact the bank’s performance in the short term.Goldman Sachs continues to adapt to a changing economic landscape, balancing strategic shifts with cautious optimism for its future operations. While trading revenues may decline this quarter, the firm remains focused on long-term growth, particularly through investment banking and private equity activities.