The Canadian federal government posted a $13 billion deficit between April and September 2024, a steep increase from the $8.2 billion deficit recorded during the same period last year. The figures, detailed in the Finance Department’s latest fiscal monitor, highlight a growing gap between rising revenues and escalating expenses.
Revenues Show Growth but Aren’t Enough
On the surface, the government’s revenue figures look promising. Total revenues increased by $20.3 billion, a 9.6% jump compared to the first half of the 2023-24 fiscal year. This growth was primarily driven by higher income tax collections and other revenue sources. However, while the revenue boost signals a recovering economy, it wasn’t enough to offset the government’s growing expenditures.
Soaring Expenses Outpace Income
Government spending climbed sharply, with program expenses (excluding net actuarial losses and gains) increasing by $21.7 billion, or 11.2%. This rise stems from expanded direct program spending, which includes government initiatives, services, and benefits. Additionally, transfers to individuals, such as pensions or financial assistance programs, and transfers to other levels of government saw significant growth.
The higher spending reflects the government’s efforts to address economic and social challenges, including inflation and ongoing recovery efforts post-pandemic. However, this spending surge has exacerbated the deficit, with expenditures outpacing revenues by a substantial margin.
Debt Charges Add to Financial Strain
One of the most pressing contributors to the deficit is the sharp increase in public debt charges. These charges rose by $5.2 billion, or 22.5%, over the same period. The increase is largely a result of higher interest rates, which have made borrowing more expensive for the government.
Interest rate hikes by the Bank of Canada have aimed to combat inflation, but they’ve also increased the cost of servicing federal debt. This rise in borrowing costs significantly burdens the government’s financial outlook, reducing the resources available for other priorities.
Net Actuarial Losses Show Improvement
Not all fiscal indicators were negative. Net actuarial losses and gains, which account for changes in long-term obligations like pensions and benefits, decreased by $1.8 billion, or 46.8%. This reduction provided some relief and could ease future financial pressures.
Looking Ahead
The first half of the fiscal year underscores the challenges facing the federal government. While revenue growth is encouraging, rising costs, driven by increased program spending and the growing burden of debt charges, are outpacing it. Managing these fiscal pressures will require careful planning and possibly tough decisions about spending priorities.
As Canadians contend with inflation and economic uncertainty, the government must balance short-term needs with long-term financial stability. Addressing the growing deficit will likely be a key focus in the months ahead.